Eddie Alvarez vs. Dustin Poirier
The bookmakers are all about Dustin Poirier in this one as he will enter the cage as a betting favorite at -157, whereas Eddie Alvarez is sitting at decent value of +155.
And here we go!
A brilliant rematch between Eddie Alvarez and Dustin Poirier will headline the action at UFC on FOX 30 in Calgary, Canada, this weekend.
These two originally met at UFC 211 in May last year, but the fight somehow turned into a disaster. Poirier was leading the way and beating up Alvarez for minutes before Alvarez shockingly turned the fight around and began to claw his way back into the contest. It would take what was deemed an ‘illegal strike’ for referee Herb Dean to step in and end the fight, calling it a ‘No Contest.’ Despite what was turning into one of the better fights of 2017, it ended up resulting in a disappointing mess.
Since then, Dustin Poirier has picked up significant victories over the likes of Anthony Pettis and Justin Gaethje, finishing both inside three rounds. As for Alvarez, he also sent Gaethje down the rankings after stopping him in the third round.
These two are set to clash for the second time in just over a year, and if it’s anything like the first time they met, it’s going to be a contender for Fight of the Year.
There are many reasons to back Dustin Poirier here in this main event. In particular, his exceptional head movement kept him out of the way of Eddie Alvarez’s bombs (before eventually being clipped in the finishing sequences). He also controlled the timing and distance of the fight for the majority of those two rounds. This one has a smarter and more complete Dustin Poirier performance written all over it.
Prediction: Dustin Poirier to win inside the distance
Bet: Dustin Poirier to win (-157)
Jose Aldo vs. Jeremy Stephens
Former champion Jose Aldo is the slight favorite for this co-main event at -125, while Jeremy Stephens is a marginal underdog at +110.
Jose Aldo, who is possibly the greatest featherweight in UFC history (or even mixed martial arts history) will attempt to break out of an unfortunate streak when he meets Jeremy Stephens this weekend. Aldo lost his title and suffered his first defeat in almost eight years when he was knocked out by Conor McGregor in 13 seconds at UFC 194. Since then, it looked as if Aldo would get back on track when he scored a big win over Frankie Edgar at UFC 200. However, the former champ has now lost two-straight against Max Holloway, the new king of the featherweight division.
As for Stephens, he’s been inching closer and closer to a title shot in the UFC’s 145lbs division. He’s currently riding a three-fight winning streak with victories against Gilbert Melendez, Doo Ho Choi, and Josh Emmett. Moreover, those last two fights were excellent knockout finishes of the adamant Choi and a rising Emmett. A win here against Aldo will shoot him up near the very top of the featherweight division.
As for the fight itself, I think many people are going to be surprised to see that Jose Aldo hasn’t at all declined. Rather, he looked relatively bad against Max Holloway – a guy who has been dominating the featherweight division for a very long time. Expect Aldo to bounce back to winning ways.
Prediction: Jose Aldo to win by unanimous decision
Bet: Jose Aldo to win (-125)
Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs. Tecia Torres
Another former champion, Joanna Jedrzejczyk, will begin as a betting favorite this weekend as she can be locked in at odds of -260 against Tecia Torres (+240).
It wasn’t all that long ago when Joanna Jedrzejczyk was considered not just the best female strawweight in the world, but possibly one of the greatest pound-for-pound fighters in the world, as well.That sounds like a bizarre take right now, we know, but it’s certainly amazing how quickly things can change in mixed martial arts.
Since losing to Rose Namajunas – twice – Jedrzejczyk is now in desperate need of a victory. Her opportunity will come against Tecia Torres, who had been storming through the division. With wins over Bec Rawlings, Juliana Lima, and then Michelle Waterson, Torres earned a shot against top contender, Jessica Andrade. Yet, she then fell short against Andrade when it mattered.
A win for either Jedrzejczyk or Torres here puts them near the top and within range of a championship fight with Rose Namajunas.
You know what? This is a very tough matchup for Tecia Torres. Jedrzejczyk made a name for herself by dominating everyone not named Rose Namajunas, and this could very well be another example. We are prepared to see a motivated Jedrzejczyk execute a smart game plan and cruise to victory.
Prediction: Joanna Jedrzejczyk to win by unanimous decision
Bet: Joanna Jedrzejczyk to win (-260)
Alexander Hernandez vs. Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Rising star Alexander Hernandez is a slight underdog (+100) against Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-124).
25-year-old Alexander Hernandez made a massive statement in his UFC debut when he finished Beneil Dariush in just 42 seconds at UFC 222. Nearly no one saw that performance coming from Hernandez, who entered the fight with an 8-1 record and minimal levels of hype attached to his name.
And then there’s Olivier Aubin-Mercier, who is a rising prospect in the division as well. Unlike Hernandez, he’s not new to the UFC; however, it’s only been recently that “The Quebec Kid” has made waves in the division. Now, with four victories in a row, Aubin-Mercier is undefeated since June 2016.
Hernandez could be an up-and-coming star in the division, but we have to give him some time to develop further. Aubin-Mercier will likely get over the line in this three-round fight.
Prediction: Olivier Aubin-Mercier to win by unanimous decision
Bet: Olivier Aubin-Mercier to win (-124)
UFC on FOX 30 fight card
UFC on FOX 30 begins on UFC Fight Pass from 4:00 pm ET (8:00 pm GMT) on Saturday, July 28.
FOX Main Card (8:00 pm ET / 12:00 am GMT)
- Dustin Poirier [-157] vs. Eddie Alvarez [+155]
- Jose Aldo [-125] vs. Jeremy Stephens [+110]
- Joanna Jedrzejczyk [-260] vs. Tecia Torres [+240]
- Alexander Hernandez [+100] vs. Olivier Aubin-Mercier [-124]
FOX Prelims (6:00 pm ET / 10:00 am GMT)
- Jordan Mein vs. Alex Morono
- Hakeem Dawodu vs. Austin Arnett
- Kajan Johnson vs. Islam Makhachev
- Gadzhimurad Antigulov vs. Ion Cutelaba
UFC Fight Pass Early Prelims (4:00 pm ET / 8:00 pm GMT)
- John Makdessi vs. Ross Pearson
- Alexis Davis vs. Katlyn Chookagian
- Dustin Ortiz vs. Matheus Nicolau
- Randa Markos vs. Nina Ansaroff
- Devin Powell vs. Alvaro Herrera